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January 2, 2026

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The post XRP Price Action Hints at 50% Upside Despite Open Interest at 6-Month Low appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

XRP is showing signs of strength even as market volatility remains muted. Despite open interest dropping to its lowest level in six months, recent XRP price action suggests bullish momentum is quietly building. Several on-chain metrics including potential supply shock are the reasons behind XRP’s strong accumulation in recent hours. If buying demand continues to surge, it raises the possibility of a 50% rally for XRP, surprising those focused only on declining derivatives activity.

XRP Open Interest at 6-Month Low

Over the last 24 hours, XRP has seen a strong upward trend as it neared the $2 mark. Data from Coinglass shows that XRP recorded over $2.37 million in total liquidation, of which sellers closed $2.2 million worth of positions. Short-liquidation peaked after XRP broke above the immediate resistance channels around $1.8.

The recent surge in the XRP price was triggered by several on-chain metrics. Data shared by SoSoValue showed that U.S. spot XRP ETFs recorded net inflows of $5.58 million on Dec. 31. These funds now hold around $1.24 billion in total assets, with total inflows reaching about $1.16 billion.

Also read: Ripple News: Is an XRP Supply Shock Really Coming? Experts Take 

At the same time, on-chain data is hinting at a supply squeeze. According to Glassnode data, XRP balances on exchanges have dropped to their lowest level in 8 years. Supply held on exchanges has fallen to 1.6 billion XRP, down by 57% since October. It suggests that investors are moving their assets for long-term storage or custody rather than putting them to be sold.

XRP Open Interest

However, trading interest in XRP has significantly dropped, as revealed by the open interest data. Coinglass shows that XRP’s OI dropped toward a 6-month low, currently sitting at $3.4 billion. Reduced OI might keep XRP price trapped within a tight region as volatility drops significantly. As a result, XRP price might require a strong accumulation to record a rally toward the $3 resistance.

What’s Next for XRP Price?

Buyers are trying to spark a recovery in XRP by pushing the price above its 20-day moving average near $1.92 on the 1-hour chart. Bulls successfully defended the $1.8 support line, resulting in a recovery toward the Fib channels around $2. As of writing, XRP price trades at $1.91, surging over 3.2% in the last 24 hours.  

XRP/USDT Chart: TradingView

Currently, buyers are attempting to defend the $1.9 level. If they manage to do that, the price could move higher toward the 50-day moving average around $2.04 and later test the $2.2 resistance level. Sellers are likely to strongly defend that level, as a clear break above it could signal a shift in trend and open the door for a rally toward $3, resulting in a 50% surge.

On the downside, $1.8 remains a key support. A drop below the ascending trend line could extend the downtrend, potentially pulling XRP down to the critical support level of $1.6.

Nvidia stock (NASDAQ: NVDA) surged roughly 3% on Friday as investors positioned ahead of the company’s pivotal CES keynote on January 5 and amid growing excitement about Chinese H200 demand.

The broader Nasdaq composite also strengthened, with the tech sector leading the market as traders returned from the New Year break.

The rally underscores how quickly sentiment can shift when artificial intelligence catalysts align with supply-demand dynamics favouring the chipmaker.​

AI momentum and CES positioning lift tech names

The timing of Nvidia stock rise makes strategic sense.

Jensen Huang will deliver the opening keynote address at CES on January 5, a venue that has become the company’s most important annual stage for showcasing AI breakthroughs and setting the tone for the year ahead.

Historically, Nvidia uses CES to elaborate on product roadmaps, highlight partnerships, and address investor concerns about growth trajectories and competitive positioning.

Last year, Huang unveiled robotics platforms and autonomous driving capabilities, signaling how Nvidia’s ambitions extend beyond data-center chips.​

The holiday liquidity dynamic also matters.

Between Christmas and New Year, trading volumes thin significantly, amplifying moves in heavily-traded mega-cap tech stocks.

A 3% gain on modest volume can telegraph stronger conviction once full trading resumes.

Analysts point out that holiday positioning, where portfolio managers adjust allocations for year-end and lock in tax losses, creates windows for concentrated buying interest in momentum names like Nvidia.​

Beyond the calendar, the CES event creates a catalyst for options traders and hedge funds that have large positions ahead of significant news.

Nvidia stock: These factors underpin optimism

The more fundamental driver of the rally is the explosive demand from China.

Reports that Chinese technology firms, including ByteDance, Alibaba, and others, have placed orders for more than 2 million H200 chips represent an extraordinary backlog.

Nvidia currently holds only 700,000 units in inventory, creating a supply-demand imbalance worth billions in potential revenue if Beijing approves the shipments and Nvidia can coordinate production through TSMC.​

The pricing alone underscores the urgency.

At roughly $27,000 per H200 chip, with eight-chip modules priced around 1.5 million yuan ($215,000), a single order of 2 million units implies $54 billion in gross sales.

Even with Nvidia’s cost structure, that margin opportunity has attracted fresh analyst attention.

Additionally, initial shipments are expected to arrive before the Lunar New Year in mid-February 2026, creating concrete near-term catalysts for headlines and management commentary.

Nvidia’s shift to Blackwell production and the pending introduction of next-generation Rubin chips also provide multi-year visibility.

Analysts have increasingly upgraded 2026 revenue forecasts, projecting that Nvidia could exceed $100 billion in annual sales by fiscal 2027.

That growth trajectory, combined with 70%+ gross margins on data-center chips, justifies valuations around current levels for investors comfortable with geopolitical execution risk around China approvals.

The key risk: Beijing’s approval of H200 imports remains uncertain despite the Trump administration’s export authorisations.

Any regulatory delay or reversal would deflate the optimism driving today’s rally.

The post Nvidia stock jumps over 3% today: what’s driving early-2026 rally? appeared first on Invezz